Trump announces U.S. troops will withdraw from Iran within two to three weeks, while the Strait of Hormuz blockade crisis remains unresolved. SpaceX files confidential IPO with the SEC targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, expanded AI chip export controls hit NVIDIA and AMD, and the world enters a new 'post-globalization' order.
NI Editorial Team
Comprised of senior wealth management, global markets, and fintech professionals
Over the past 12 hours, global financial markets and diplomatic systems have been closely watching U.S. President Donald Trump's latest statements on the Middle East situation. According to real-time tracking by Bloomberg and CNN, Trump publicly stated at the White House that U.S. troops are expected to withdraw from Iran within two to three weeks, claiming to have achieved a "devastating military victory." This statement immediately triggered extreme volatility in global energy markets, as the Strait of Hormuz blockade crisis remains unresolved and energy facilities in Kuwait and Abu Dhabi continue to face drone attacks. Markets are caught between the contradictory sentiments of "ceasefire dawn" and "energy rupture."
Another piece of news shaking Wall Street is that Elon Musk's aerospace company SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) has officially filed a confidential IPO application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). According to The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), the company's target valuation is a staggering $1.75 trillion, with an expected fundraising scale that would surpass Saudi Aramco's historic record. This news has been described in CNBC discussions as the turning point for the 2026 tech capital market, marking the space economy's official transition from speculation to mainstream investment.
The core of the Middle East situation lies in the physical rupture of energy supply chains. According to shipping data cited by Bloomberg, Iran's blockade of Persian Gulf export channels has halved Saudi Arabia's crude oil exports. This severe supply-side shock has driven UK gasoline and diesel prices to historic highs, while U.S. average domestic gas prices have surged to $4.06 per gallon.
In the tech sector, the battle over technical details is equally intense. The U.S. Department of Commerce is planning to expand export bans on advanced AI chips, directly impacting NVIDIA (NVDA) and AMD's global strategies.
Facing geopolitical uncertainty, Morgan Stanley analysts advise companies to complete financial resilience assessments as soon as possible. Industry experts noted in a CNBC interview that markets are no longer purely chasing growth, but rather focusing on who can survive the double blow of "energy rupture" and "trade protectionism."
| Dimension | Recommendation |
|---|---|
| Financial Strategy | Since SpaceX's IPO could drain massive market liquidity, mid-cap tech companies should complete financing before June to avoid capital depletion |
| Supply Chain Restructuring | In response to the Commerce Department's new AI chip regulations, multinational companies must establish "de-Americanized" technology contingencies for sudden license revocations |
| Energy Cost Locking | Transportation and logistics operators should use financial instruments (such as futures contracts) to lock in oil prices, hedging against potential price rebounds during the U.S. withdrawal process |
Today's global situation presents a landscape of "old order crumbling, new order emerging." The Middle East withdrawal decision may ease military confrontation in the short term, but the energy vacuum and regional instability it leaves behind will be borne by allies and global markets alike. Meanwhile, SpaceX's IPO and AI export control policies symbolize capital and technology becoming complete extensions of geopolitics.
According to IEA projections, within the next three years, "energy sovereignty" will replace "cost efficiency" as the primary consideration for national policymaking.